Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Bottoms Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001401800 · Alameda, CA · pop 1,709 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06001401800 is a census tract in the Lower Bottoms area of Oakland, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,709 residents. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Alameda County average of 45.5%.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 25% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units710

Renter share73.9%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate19.5%

Median income$69,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.8095, -122.2983 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Bottoms scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

19.5% poverty · this tract

4.9

Supply constraint

$1,648 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Lower Bottoms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Bottoms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.3%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
18.8%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
27.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Bottoms

The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $1,648, 17% below the Oakland average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001401800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001401800?

Census tract 06001401800 in the Lower Bottoms neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001401800?

Median gross rent is $1,648/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001401800?

19.5% of residents in tract 06001401800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,709.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001401800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 44th, minority 82th, housing 90th.

Is tract 06001401800 considered part of Lower Bottoms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001401800 fall within Lower Bottoms (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001401800 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001401800 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001401800 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001401800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.