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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

Tract 06001440337 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,852 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 06001440337 sits in the Decoto area of Union City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,852. roughly one in eight of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Alameda County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 13% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units742
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Decoto
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 16 tracts In Union City
Very Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#369 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#8,051 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5938, -122.0108 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Decoto risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 440337Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

It sits 2.4 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 29% above the Union City average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.

Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440337

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440337?

Census tract 06001440337 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001440337?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440337?

2.6% of residents in tract 06001440337 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,852.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440337?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 4th, minority 94th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 06001440337 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440337 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001440337 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001440337 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440337 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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