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Pinole, California eviction risk overview
City brief · 18,761 residents

Pinole, CA Eviction Risk: HIGH

Contra Costa County · Population 18,761

In 2026
Risk score
8
HIGH

66th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.6 Average4.6 Now8
9.3 2.6 1976 · score 2.8 1977 · score 2.8 1978 · score 2.8 1979 · score 2.8 1980 · score 2.8 1981 · score 2.8 1982 · score 2.9 1983 · score 2.8 1984 · score 2.7 1985 · score 2.7 1986 · score 2.6 1987 · score 2.6 1988 · score 2.8 1989 · score 2.8 1990 · score 2.9 1991 · score 3.1 1992 · score 3.8 1993 · score 3.8 1994 · score 3.9 1995 · score 3.7 1996 · score 3.7 1997 · score 3.7 1998 · score 3.8 1999 · score 3.8 2000 · score 3.7 2001 · score 3.8 2002 · score 3.8 2003 · score 3.9 2004 · score 4.0 2005 · score 4.0 2006 · score 4.0 2007 · score 4.2 2008 · score 4.9 2009 · score 5.2 2010 · score 5.3 2011 · score 5.4 2012 · score 5.4 2013 · score 5.4 2014 · score 5.4 2015 · score 5.4 2016 · score 5.8 2017 · score 5.9 2018 · score 6.1 2019 · score 6.9 2020 · score 9.3 2021 · score 8.9 2022 · score 8.5 2023 · score 8.1 2024 · score 8.2 2025 · score 8.1 2026 · score 8.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.5 Regional 7.5 State 6.8 Economic 4.5 Supply 7.6 Rent Control 8.7 Eviction 6.5 Tenant 5.4 Housing 6.2 8 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +38.0% (2024)
    7.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    6.5% poverty · 3.5% unemp.
    4.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,700 average · 20.6% renters
    7.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    47.8% of income on rent
    8.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    275 days filing → judgment
    6.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    20.6% renters
    5.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pinole and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Pinole compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Contra Costa County
Low
#37 of 50 cities
Rank in county, 27th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 50 cities in Contra Costa County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Elevated
#655 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 59th percentileLowHigh
#655 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Pinole risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Pinole: 8.08.0PinoleThis cityCounty: 8.18.1Countyavg in countyState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 275d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,700/mo. A contested eviction takes 275 days and costs $13,886–$30,114 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 20.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 18,761 residents, 20.6% rent. 48% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.5% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.5 and 7.5 (Dem margin +38.0% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.5, housing court bias 6.2, rent-control risk 8.7. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.5. Supply constraint: 7.6. The numbers behind those: 6.5% poverty, 3.5% unemployment, 48% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Pinole sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.7 San Francisco Oakland, CA · 282d · ~$24.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 9.9 Oakland Fremont, CA · 254d · ~$26.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 8 Fremont Santa Rosa, CA · 248d · ~$24.2k all-in ($98/day) · score 8 Santa Rosa Hayward, CA · 287d · ~$27.6k all-in ($96/day) · score 8.3 Hayward Sunnyvale, CA · 287d · ~$24.9k all-in ($87/day) · score 8 Sunnyvale Santa Clara, CA · 243d · ~$24.8k all-in ($102/day) · score 7.9 Santa Clara Vallejo, CA · 279d · ~$24.9k all-in ($89/day) · score 8.2 Vallejo Concord, CA · 252d · ~$23.8k all-in ($94/day) · score 8 Concord Fairfield, CA · 246d · ~$24.7k all-in ($100/day) · score 8 Fairfield Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Pinole
Pinole · 275d · ~$22.0k all-in ($80/day) · score 8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Pinole, CA

Landlording in Pinole, California, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Pinole is a city of 18,761 residents where 20.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 47.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,700/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Pinole eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Pinole closes 275 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Pinole's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Pinole runs $13,886 to $30,114 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 275 days of typical timeline and $2,700/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.4/10 in Pinole, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Pinole: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $30,114 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Pinole

Trap · AB 1482
Politically, Contra Costa County voted Democratic by 45.3 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with tenant-protective legislative pressure. Combined with 47.8% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of AB 1482 + Costa-Hawkins.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Pinole for no reason?

No. California has statewide just-cause eviction requirements. You must have a legally recognized reason, such as non-payment of rent, lease violation, or owner move-in, to evict a tenant in Pinole.
Q2

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Pinole?

The maximum security deposit you can charge in Pinole, like the rest of California, is 1.00 month's rent. For a unit renting at $2,700, this means a $2,700 deposit cap.
Q3

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I give them a 3-day notice?

Accepting a partial payment after issuing a 3-day pay-or-quit notice can nullify your notice. This forces you to issue a new notice and restart the eviction timeline. Be very careful with partial payments.
Q4

How long does an eviction usually take in Pinole?

The typical eviction timeline in Pinole is 275 days. This can vary based on court backlogs, tenant responses, and the complexity of the case, but expect a lengthy process.
Q5

Should I use an attorney for an eviction in Pinole?

Absolutely. Given the high eviction-process-difficulty (6.5/10), housing-court-bias (6.2/10), and the severe financial and time costs, attempting an eviction without an experienced California landlord-tenant attorney is a major risk.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8/10 places Pinole in the 66th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.