Census Tract · Ranked #2,892 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003129 · Kern, CA · pop 3,553

Census tract 06029003129 belongs to Bakersfield, California. It is home to 3,553 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 4% of renter households, a modest level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $89,250 a year. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 22% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,152

Renter share23.4%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate33.6%

Median income$89,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3035, -119.1010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

33.6% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
0%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.3%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
23.3%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
31.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kern County average of 6.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003129

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003129?

Census tract 06029003129 in Bakersfield scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003129?

33.6% of residents in tract 06029003129 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,553.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003129?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 84th, minority 89th, housing 0th.

What share of households in tract 06029003129 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003129 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003129 scores 7.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.