Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation runs 26.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the Kern County average of 6.4.

At $1,341 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $68,975.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.