2 census tracts · pop 8,256 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 7.4–8.7
Old Town takes in 2 census tracts of Novato, CA and houses 8,256 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.3/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 35.8% citywide, putting Old Town 18.5% over its own city.
The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.
Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,961 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Novato commands. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.4 to 8.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $94,163.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.3
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Old Town vs NovatoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Town
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.0%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
8.0%No health insurance
28.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Old Town
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Old Town?
Old Town scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Old Town compare to Novato overall?
Old Town scores 0.8 points higher than Novato overall (7.5/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,961 vs $2,506.
Q3
What is the average rent in Old Town?
Average gross rent in Old Town is $1,961/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Old Town residents are renters?
41% of Old Town households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Novato). The neighborhood has 8,256 residents.
Q5
Is Old Town a high social-vulnerability area?
Old Town sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Old Town have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Town is census tract 06041102203 (score 8.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 8.7, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Old Town for landlords?
Old Town carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Novato as a whole (7.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Old Town?
Old Town has 8,354 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (29.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
