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Neighborhood · San Rafael, CA

Dominican Eviction Risk: High

4 census tracts · pop 14,435 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.6/10 · range 8.4–8.8

Dominican spans 4 census tracts of San Rafael, CA and houses 14,435 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.6/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a San Rafael baseline of 36.0%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. The closest comparables inside the same city are Terra Linda and Canal.

Its 4 tracts score within 0.4 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $2,262, close to the San Rafael average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $100,067. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.6
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Dominican vs San Rafael How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.5% +74%
San Rafael: 36.0%
Average gross rent
$2,262 -5%
San Rafael: $2,377
Average HH income
$100,067 -8%
San Rafael: $109,317
Poverty rate
9.8% -10%
San Rafael: 10.9%
Renter share
53.0% +13%
San Rafael: 47.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dominican and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 8.4–8.8

Why Dominican scores 8.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
9.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–2.9 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.5 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Dominican vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dominican score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.6DominicanNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dominican?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 8.4 to 8.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Dominican

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06041109001 8.8 3,864 67% $2,155
06041110100 8.6 5,703 64% $2,272
06041111001 8.5 850 57% $2,479
06041111002 8.4 4,018 58% $2,306
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dominican

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dominican

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dominican?

Dominican scores 8.6/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dominican compare to San Rafael overall?

Dominican scores 0.7 points higher than San Rafael overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,262 vs $2,377.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dominican?

Average gross rent in Dominican is $2,262/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dominican residents are renters?

53% of Dominican households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in San Rafael). The neighborhood has 14,435 residents.
Q5

Is Dominican a high social-vulnerability area?

Dominican sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dominican have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dominican is census tract 06041109001 (score 8.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.4 to 8.8, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Dominican for landlords?

Dominican carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Rafael as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dominican?

Dominican has 14,678 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.7%), Hispanic / Latino (24.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dominican

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Rafael

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dominican.

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