Neighborhood · San Rafael, CA

Dominican Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 14,435 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.3–5.6

Dominican is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in San Rafael with 4 census tracts and a population of 14,435 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 63% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,262/month sits 5% lower than the San Rafael citywide average ($2,377).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Dominican vs San Rafael How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

62.5% +74%

San Rafael: 36.0%

Average gross rent

$2,262 -5%

San Rafael: $2,377

Average HH income

$100,067 -8%

San Rafael: $109,317

Poverty rate

9.8% -10%

San Rafael: 10.9%

Renter share

53.0% +13%

San Rafael: 47.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dominican and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.3–5.6

Why Dominican scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

63% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

9.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–2.9 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.5 across tracts

1.8

Risk score comparison

Dominican vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dominican?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.3 points from 5.3 to 5.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.6 5.4 5.4 5.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Dominican

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06041109001	5.6	3,864	67%	$2,155
06041110100	5.4	5,703	64%	$2,272
06041111001	5.4	850	57%	$2,479
06041111002	5.3	4,018	58%	$2,306

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 33%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 61%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dominican

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.0%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
6.9%No health insurance
26.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Dominican

What is the eviction-risk score for Dominican?

Dominican scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Dominican compare to San Rafael overall?

Dominican scores 2.9 points lower than San Rafael overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,262 vs $2,377.

What is the average rent in Dominican?

Average gross rent in Dominican is $2,262/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Dominican residents are renters?

53% of Dominican households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in San Rafael). The neighborhood has 14,435 residents.

Is Dominican a high social-vulnerability area?

Dominican sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Dominican have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dominican is census tract 06041109001 (score 5.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.6, a spread of 0.3 points.

How safe is Dominican for landlords?

Dominican carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Rafael as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Dominican?

Dominican has 14,678 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.7%), Hispanic / Latino (24.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dominican

6.5 Canal 4 tracts · pop 16,924 5.2 Terra Linda 3 tracts · pop 13,843 2.7 Almonte 4 tracts · pop 21,371 4.8 Canyon Green 4 tracts · pop 21,008 4.8 Old Town 2 tracts · pop 8,256

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Rafael

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dominican.

5 Terra Linda 3 tracts · pop 13,843 6.4 Canal 4 tracts · pop 16,924

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