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Neighborhood · Novato, CA

Canyon Green Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 21,008 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 3.8–5.8

Canyon Green is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Novato with 4 census tracts and a population of 21,008 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 64% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 40% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,583/month sits 3% higher than the Novato citywide average ($2,506).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Canyon Green vs Novato How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.0% +79%
Novato: 35.8%
Average gross rent
$2,583 +3%
Novato: $2,506
Average HH income
$109,853 -2%
Novato: $112,193
Poverty rate
11.4% +27%
Novato: 9.0%
Renter share
34.0% +0%
Novato: 33.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.8–5.8

Why Canyon Green scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.1 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–3.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Canyon Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Canyon Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Canyon Green: 4.94.9Canyon GreenNeighborhoodParent city: 8.28.2Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Canyon Green?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 3.8 to 5.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Canyon Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06041104102 5.8 5,274 72% $2,389
06041103200 4.8 7,457 74% $2,519
06041102202 4.7 5,393 58% $2,934
06041104103 3.8 2,884 34% $2,446
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Canyon Green

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Canyon Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Canyon Green?

Canyon Green scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Canyon Green compare to Novato overall?

Canyon Green scores 3.3 points lower than Novato overall (8.2/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,583 vs $2,506.
Q3

What is the average rent in Canyon Green?

Average gross rent in Canyon Green is $2,583/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Canyon Green residents are renters?

34% of Canyon Green households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Novato). The neighborhood has 21,008 residents.
Q5

Is Canyon Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Canyon Green sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Canyon Green have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Canyon Green is census tract 06041104102 (score 5.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.8, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Canyon Green for landlords?

Canyon Green carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Novato as a whole (8.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Canyon Green?

Canyon Green has 20,220 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Hispanic / Latino (26.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Canyon Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Novato

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Canyon Green.

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