4 census tracts · pop 21,008 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10
· range 6.7–8.9
Canyon Green is a 4-tract neighborhood of Novato, CA, population 21,008. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.1/10, placing it in the High tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
64% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Novato rate of 35.8%. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.7 to 8.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.
Average gross rent runs $2,583, close to the Novato average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $109,853. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.1
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Canyon Green vs NovatoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Canyon Green
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.7%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
8.3%No health insurance
30.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Canyon Green
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Canyon Green?
Canyon Green scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Canyon Green compare to Novato overall?
Canyon Green scores 0.6 points higher than Novato overall (7.5/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,583 vs $2,506.
Q3
What is the average rent in Canyon Green?
Average gross rent in Canyon Green is $2,583/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Canyon Green residents are renters?
34% of Canyon Green households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Novato). The neighborhood has 21,008 residents.
Q5
Is Canyon Green a high social-vulnerability area?
Canyon Green sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Canyon Green have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Canyon Green is census tract 06041104102 (score 8.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 8.9, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Canyon Green for landlords?
Canyon Green carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Novato as a whole (7.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Canyon Green?
Canyon Green has 20,220 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Hispanic / Latino (26.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
