Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Novato
Tract 06041101200 · Marin, CA · pop 2,770 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Old Town neighborhood of Novato centers on tract 06041101200, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,770 residents. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,831 a month while the average household earns $119,762 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,028
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$119,762
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Novato and the region
Centroid at 38.0984, -122.5448 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,831 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5
How Old Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Novato, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Marin County average of 5.4 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06041101200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041101200?
Census tract 06041101200 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06041101200?
Median gross rent is $1,831/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06041101200?
7.3% of residents in tract 06041101200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,770.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06041101200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 42th, minority 52th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 06041101200 considered part of Old Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041101200 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06041101200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06041101200 compare to Novato overall?
Tract 06041101200 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Novato
Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Old Town
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041105001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041104104
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041104200
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041104300
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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