Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Novato Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 06041103100 · Marin, CA · pop 7,228 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Novato
In Novato, census tract 06041103100 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $169,127 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,619
Renter share14.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$169,127
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Novato and the region
Centroid at 38.1332, -122.6580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Novato scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5
How Novato compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Novato
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Novato, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marin County average of 5.4 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06041103100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041103100?
Census tract 06041103100 in Novato scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06041103100?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06041103100?
2.5% of residents in tract 06041103100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,228.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06041103100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 25th, minority 39th, housing 29th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06041103100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06041103100 compare to Novato overall?
Tract 06041103100 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Novato
Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Old Town
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041105001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041104104
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041104200
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Old Town
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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