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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Novato Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06041105001 · Marin, CA · pop 4,324

For landlords sizing up Novato in Marin County, census tract 06041105001 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5/10. On the national scale it ranks #28,493 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,250 monthly, set against $93,828 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,369
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$93,828

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Novato
High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#19 of 62 tracts In Marin
Elevated
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#5,551 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0495, -122.5271 · click any tract to drill in

Why Novato scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,250 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5

How Novato compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Novato risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 105001Novato: 8.28.2Novatoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Novato

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Novato, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marin County average of 5.4 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041105001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041105001?

Census tract 06041105001 in Novato scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041105001?

Median gross rent is $2,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041105001?

9.7% of residents in tract 06041105001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,324.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041105001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 83th, minority 74th, housing 98th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06041105001 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06041105001 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041105001 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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