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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Novato Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06041105001 · Marin, CA · pop 4,324

06041105001 is a census tract in Novato, CA. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,324. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.1/10.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,369
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$93,828

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Novato
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 62 tracts In Marin
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0495, -122.5271 · click any tract to drill in

Why Novato scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,250 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5

How Novato compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Novato risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 1050017.5Novatoparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Novato

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.1 points above the Marin County average of 7.3. Average gross rent is $2,250, 10% below the Novato average.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $93,828. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041105001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041105001?

Census tract 06041105001 in Novato scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041105001?

Median gross rent is $2,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041105001?

9.7% of residents in tract 06041105001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,324.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041105001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 83th, minority 74th, housing 98th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06041105001 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06041105001 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041105001 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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