Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Novato Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06041104104 · Marin, CA · pop 5,173
In Novato, census tract 06041104104 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,610 a month against an average household income of $142,413 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,927
Renter share42.1%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$142,413
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Novato and the region
Centroid at 38.0740, -122.5535 · click any tract to drill in
Why Novato scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,610 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5
How Novato compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Novato
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Novato, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marin County average of 5.4 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06041104104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041104104?
Census tract 06041104104 in Novato scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06041104104?
Median gross rent is $2,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06041104104?
16.5% of residents in tract 06041104104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06041104104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 66th, minority 55th, housing 68th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06041104104 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06041104104 compare to Novato overall?
Tract 06041104104 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Novato
Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Old Town
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041105001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041104200
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Old Town
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06041102100
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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