Census Tract · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Novato Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06041104104 · Marin, CA · pop 5,173

06041104104 is a census tract in Novato, CA. It scores 8/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units1,927

Renter share42.1%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate16.5%

Median income$142,413

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0740, -122.5535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Novato scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Novato

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.5% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$2,610 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Novato

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Novato

7.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Novato

6.5

How Novato compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Novato

Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.3/10.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Marin County average of 51.0%. Against the Marin County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Average gross rent is $2,610, close to the Novato average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $142,413. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041104104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041104104?

Census tract 06041104104 in Novato scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06041104104?

Median gross rent is $2,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041104104?

16.5% of residents in tract 06041104104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,173.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041104104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 66th, minority 55th, housing 68th.

What share of households in tract 06041104104 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06041104104 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041104104 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.