Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Novato Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06041104200 · Marin, CA · pop 5,668 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Novato

Tract 06041104200 sits in Novato, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It is home to 5,668 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 13% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units2,349

Renter share37.0%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate5.2%

Median income$107,965

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0608, -122.5689 · click any tract to drill in

Why Novato scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Novato

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.2% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$3,013 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Novato

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Novato

7.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Novato

6.5

How Novato compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

14%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
28.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Novato

Against Marin County at 51.0%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $107,965 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Average gross rent is $3,013, 20% above the Novato average. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Marin County average of 7.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041104200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041104200?

Census tract 06041104200 in Novato scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06041104200?

Median gross rent is $3,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041104200?

5.2% of residents in tract 06041104200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,668.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041104200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 31th, minority 50th, housing 11th.

What share of households in tract 06041104200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06041104200 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041104200 scores 7.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.