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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Elevated , Novato

Tract 06041101200 · Marin, CA · pop 2,770 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06041101200 sits in the Old Town area of Novato, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. Against Marin County at 51.0%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 12% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,028
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$119,762

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Old Town
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Novato
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 62 tracts In Marin
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4,555 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0984, -122.5448 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,831 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.4This tracttract 1012007.5Novatoparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

At $1,831 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Novato commands. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Marin County average of 7.3 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041101200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041101200?

Census tract 06041101200 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041101200?

Median gross rent is $1,831/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041101200?

7.3% of residents in tract 06041101200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,770.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041101200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 42th, minority 52th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 06041101200 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041101200 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041101200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041101200 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041101200 scores 7.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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