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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Dominican Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Rafael

Tract 06041111001 · Marin, CA · pop 850 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06041111001 runs through the Dominican area of San Rafael. With 850 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,479 monthly, set against $98,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 36% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units508
Renter share84.3%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$98,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Dominican
Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Low
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 62 tracts In Marin
High
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#4,867 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9719, -122.5270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dominican scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,479 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Dominican compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dominican risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 111001San Rafael: 8.38.3San Rafaelparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dominican. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dominican

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Rafael, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marin County average of 5.4 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041111001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041111001?

Census tract 06041111001 in the Dominican neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041111001?

Median gross rent is $2,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041111001?

11.4% of residents in tract 06041111001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 850.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041111001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 5th, minority 36th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 06041111001 considered part of Dominican?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041111001 fall within Dominican (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041111001 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041111001 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041111001 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of San Rafael at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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