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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Dominican Eviction Risk: High , San Rafael

Tract 06041111002 · Marin, CA · pop 4,018 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 8.4/10, tract 06041111002 in the Dominican area of San Rafael, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,187
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$91,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Dominican
Very Low
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 62 tracts In Marin
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9699, -122.5395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dominican scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,306 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Dominican compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dominican risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 1110027.9San Rafaelparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dominican. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dominican

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Marin County average of 51.0%. Against the Marin County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $2,306, close to the San Rafael average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $91,949.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041111002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041111002?

Census tract 06041111002 in the Dominican neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041111002?

Median gross rent is $2,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041111002?

5.8% of residents in tract 06041111002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,018.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041111002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 12th, minority 35th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 06041111002 considered part of Dominican?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041111002 fall within Dominican (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041111002 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041111002 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041111002 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Rafael at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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