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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Dominican Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Rafael

Tract 06041111002 · Marin, CA · pop 4,018 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

In Dominican in San Rafael, census tract 06041111002 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 66% of US census tracts.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,306 monthly, set against $91,949 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,187
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$91,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Dominican
Very Low
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 62 tracts In Marin
High
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#5,035 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9699, -122.5395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dominican scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,306 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Dominican compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dominican risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 111002San Rafael: 8.38.3San Rafaelparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dominican. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dominican

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Rafael, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marin County average of 5.4 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041111002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041111002?

Census tract 06041111002 in the Dominican neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041111002?

Median gross rent is $2,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041111002?

5.8% of residents in tract 06041111002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,018.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041111002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 12th, minority 35th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 06041111002 considered part of Dominican?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041111002 fall within Dominican (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041111002 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041111002 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041111002 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Rafael at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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