Royal Palms Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cathedral City

Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $36,219, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Riverside County average of 53.8%. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.4% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,335, 17% below the Cathedral City average. Against the Riverside County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.