Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Morningstar Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , French Valley

Tract 06065043204 · Riverside, CA · pop 8,221 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06065043204 sits in the Morningstar Ranch area of French Valley, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Against Riverside County at 53.8%, 94% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 1% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units2,195

Renter share9.5%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate11.1%

Median income$135,243

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across French Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.6144, -117.0916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morningstar Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from French Valley

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.1% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$3,378 rent vs county FMR

9.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from French Valley

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from French Valley

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from French Valley

5.3

How Morningstar Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.8%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morningstar Ranch

The voucher gap is 46.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.6/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Riverside County average of 6.6.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. At $3,378 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of French Valley commands.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $135,243.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06065043204

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06065043204?

Census tract 06065043204 in the Morningstar Ranch neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06065043204?

Median gross rent is $3,378/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 94% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06065043204?

11.1% of residents in tract 06065043204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,221.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06065043204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 84th, minority 73th, housing 17th.

Is tract 06065043204 considered part of Morningstar Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06065043204 fall within Morningstar Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06065043204 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06065043204 compare to French Valley overall?

Tract 06065043204 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of French Valley at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from French Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in French Valley

Top eight tracts in French Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.