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Neighborhood · French Valley, CA

Morningstar Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 8,221 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Morningstar Ranch is a one-tract neighborhood of French Valley, CA and houses 8,221 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 94% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the French Valley rate of 25.6%.

The voucher gap is 46.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 9.6/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10.

At $3,378 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of French Valley commands. That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in French Valley.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Dutch Village and Willow score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $135,243.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Morningstar Ranch vs French Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
94.2% +268%
French Valley: 25.6%
Average gross rent
$3,378 +8%
French Valley: $3,119
Average HH income
$135,243 +2%
French Valley: $132,605
Poverty rate
11.1% +132%
French Valley: 4.8%
Renter share
9.5% -24%
French Valley: 12.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Morningstar Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Morningstar Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
94% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Risk score comparison

Morningstar Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Morningstar Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Morningstar Ranch: 5.25.2Morningstar RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 6.36.3Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Morningstar Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043204 5.2 8,221 94% $3,378
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Morningstar Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Morningstar Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Morningstar Ranch?

Morningstar Ranch scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Morningstar Ranch compare to French Valley overall?

Morningstar Ranch scores 1.1 points lower than French Valley overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 94% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $3,378 vs $3,119.
Q3

What is the average rent in Morningstar Ranch?

Average gross rent in Morningstar Ranch is $3,378/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 94% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Morningstar Ranch residents are renters?

10% of Morningstar Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in French Valley). The neighborhood has 8,221 residents.
Q5

Is Morningstar Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Morningstar Ranch sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Morningstar Ranch for landlords?

Morningstar Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to French Valley as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Morningstar Ranch?

Morningstar Ranch has 8,904 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (33.8%), Hispanic / Latino (29.8%), Other / Multiracial (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Morningstar Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside French Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Morningstar Ranch.

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