Neighborhood · French Valley, CA

Morningstar Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 8,221 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 6.5–6.5

Morningstar Ranch is a white-hispanic neighborhood in French Valley with 1 census tract and a population of 8,221 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 94% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $3,378/month sits 8% higher than the French Valley citywide median ($3,119).

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Morningstar Ranch vs French Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

94.2% +268%

French Valley: 25.6%

Average gross rent

$3,378 +8%

French Valley: $3,119

Average HH income

$135,243 +2%

French Valley: $132,605

Poverty rate

11.1% +132%

French Valley: 4.8%

Renter share

9.5% -24%

French Valley: 12.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Morningstar Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.5–6.5

Why Morningstar Ranch scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

94% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

10% renter households · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

11.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts

9.6

Risk score comparison

Morningstar Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Morningstar Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06065043204	6.5	8,221	94%	$3,378

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 84%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 17%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Morningstar Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.8%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.0%No health insurance
28.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Morningstar Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Morningstar Ranch?

Morningstar Ranch scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Morningstar Ranch compare to French Valley overall?

Morningstar Ranch scores 1.3 points higher than French Valley overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 94% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Median rent: $3,378 vs $3,119.

What is the average rent in Morningstar Ranch?

Median gross rent in Morningstar Ranch is $3,378/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 94% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Morningstar Ranch residents are renters?

10% of Morningstar Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in French Valley). The neighborhood has 8,221 residents.

Is Morningstar Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Morningstar Ranch sits in the 32th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Morningstar Ranch for landlords?

Morningstar Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to French Valley as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Morningstar Ranch?

Morningstar Ranch has 8,904 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (33.8%), Hispanic / Latino (29.8%), Other / Multiracial (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Morningstar Ranch

5.9 Dutch Village 3 tracts · pop 15,329 6.3 Antelope Hills 2 tracts · pop 15,311 6.0 Murrieta Hot Springs 4 tracts · pop 21,517 6.3 Menifee Lakes 4 tracts · pop 25,511 6.3 Greer Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,409 6.2 California Oaks 5 tracts · pop 30,317

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside French Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Morningstar Ranch.

6.3 Willow 1 tracts · pop 11,937 5.9 Dutch Village 3 tracts · pop 15,329 5.7 Rancho Bella Vista 1 tracts · pop 5,419 5.6 Upton 1 tracts · pop 9,896

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