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Neighborhood · Homeland, CA

Winchester Trails Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 7,436 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 7.1–7.1

Winchester Trails is a one-tract neighborhood of Homeland, CA, population 7,436. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, Elevated tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 29.7% of adults, 11.9 points above the national rate. 25% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, slightly below the Homeland rate of 28.3%.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,581, close to the Homeland average.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $61,174.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Winchester Trails vs Homeland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
24.5% -13%
Homeland: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$1,581 -3%
Homeland: $1,635
Average HH income
$61,174 +12%
Homeland: $54,863
Poverty rate
13.5% +18%
Homeland: 11.4%
Renter share
19.0% -25%
Homeland: 25.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.1–7.1

Why Winchester Trails scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
25% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
13.5% below poverty line · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Winchester Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Winchester Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.1Winchester TrailsNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Winchester Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06065042723 7.1 7,436 24% $1,581
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 90%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winchester Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Winchester Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Winchester Trails?

Winchester Trails scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Winchester Trails compare to Homeland overall?

Winchester Trails scores 1.1 points higher than Homeland overall (6/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,581 vs $1,635.
Q3

What is the average rent in Winchester Trails?

Average gross rent in Winchester Trails is $1,581/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Winchester Trails residents are renters?

19% of Winchester Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Homeland). The neighborhood has 7,436 residents.
Q5

Is Winchester Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Winchester Trails sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Winchester Trails for landlords?

Winchester Trails carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Homeland as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Winchester Trails?

Winchester Trails has 7,270 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (67%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winchester Trails

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