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Neighborhood · Homeland, CA

Winchester Trails Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 7,436 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 7.1–7.1

Winchester Trails is a one-tract neighborhood of Homeland, CA, population 7,436. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, Elevated tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 29.7% of adults, 11.9 points above the national rate. 25% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, slightly below the Homeland rate of 28.3%.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,581, close to the Homeland average.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $61,174.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Winchester Trails vs Homeland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
24.5% -13%
Homeland: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$1,581 -3%
Homeland: $1,635
Average HH income
$61,174 +12%
Homeland: $54,863
Poverty rate
13.5% +18%
Homeland: 11.4%
Renter share
19.0% -25%
Homeland: 25.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.1–7.1

Why Winchester Trails scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
25% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
13.5% below poverty line · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Winchester Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Winchester Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Winchester Trails: 7.17.1Winchester TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Winchester Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065042723 7.1 7,436 24% $1,581
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 90%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winchester Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Winchester Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Winchester Trails?

Winchester Trails scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Winchester Trails compare to Homeland overall?

Winchester Trails scores 1.1 points higher than Homeland overall (6/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,581 vs $1,635.
Q3

What is the average rent in Winchester Trails?

Average gross rent in Winchester Trails is $1,581/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Winchester Trails residents are renters?

19% of Winchester Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Homeland). The neighborhood has 7,436 residents.
Q5

Is Winchester Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Winchester Trails sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Winchester Trails for landlords?

Winchester Trails carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Homeland as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Winchester Trails?

Winchester Trails has 7,270 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (67%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winchester Trails

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