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Neighborhood · Menifee, CA

Menifee Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 25,511 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 4.9–6.6

Menifee Lakes takes in 4 census tracts of Menifee, CA, population 25,511. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 39.5% citywide, putting Menifee Lakes 17.0% over its own city.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 4.9 to 6.6. A 1.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

That places it #6 of 6 neighborhoods in Menifee. At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,229, close to the Menifee average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $106,273.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Menifee Lakes vs Menifee How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.5% +43%
Menifee: 39.5%
Average gross rent
$2,229 +6%
Menifee: $2,110
Average HH income
$106,273 +19%
Menifee: $89,183
Poverty rate
6.9% -28%
Menifee: 9.6%
Renter share
22.4% +13%
Menifee: 19.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Menifee Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.9–6.6

Why Menifee Lakes scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
6.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–5.5 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Menifee Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Menifee Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Menifee Lakes: 5.55.5Menifee LakesNeighborhoodParent city: 6.36.3Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Menifee Lakes?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 4.9 to 6.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Menifee Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065042752 6.6 4,718 79% $1,974
06065042742 5.5 6,726 56% $2,351
06065042738 5.3 8,664 56% $2,155
06065042724 4.9 5,403 37% $2,420
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Menifee Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Menifee Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Menifee Lakes?

Menifee Lakes scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Menifee Lakes compare to Menifee overall?

Menifee Lakes scores 0.8 points lower than Menifee overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 40% citywide. Average rent: $2,229 vs $2,110.
Q3

What is the average rent in Menifee Lakes?

Average gross rent in Menifee Lakes is $2,229/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Menifee Lakes residents are renters?

22% of Menifee Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Menifee). The neighborhood has 25,511 residents.
Q5

Is Menifee Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Menifee Lakes sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Menifee Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Menifee Lakes is census tract 06065042752 (score 6.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 6.6, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Menifee Lakes for landlords?

Menifee Lakes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Menifee as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Menifee Lakes?

Menifee Lakes has 25,816 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.3%), Hispanic / Latino (30.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Menifee Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Menifee

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Menifee Lakes.

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