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Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Escaya Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 16,008 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 6.4–6.4

Escaya is a one-tract neighborhood of Chula Vista, CA and houses 16,008 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.4/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Chula Vista baseline of 35.4%, 72% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $2,829, 27% above the Chula Vista average of $2,229. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. That places it #14 of 16 neighborhoods in Chula Vista. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Wolf Canyon and Eastlake score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $139,464.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Escaya vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.6% +102%
Chula Vista: 35.4%
Average gross rent
$2,829 +27%
Chula Vista: $2,229
Average HH income
$139,464 +33%
Chula Vista: $105,173
Poverty rate
6.1% -28%
Chula Vista: 8.4%
Renter share
23.4% -42%
Chula Vista: 40.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Escaya and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.4–6.4

Why Escaya scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

Escaya vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Escaya score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Escaya: 6.46.4EscayaNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Escaya

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073013317 6.4 16,008 72% $2,829
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Escaya

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Escaya

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Escaya?

Escaya scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Escaya compare to Chula Vista overall?

Escaya scores 1.4 points lower than Chula Vista overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,829 vs $2,229.
Q3

What is the average rent in Escaya?

Average gross rent in Escaya is $2,829/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Escaya residents are renters?

23% of Escaya households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 16,008 residents.
Q5

Is Escaya a high social-vulnerability area?

Escaya sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Escaya for landlords?

Escaya carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Escaya?

Escaya has 16,919 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (32.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Escaya

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Escaya.

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