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Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Eastlake Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 29,025 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.4–6.8

Eastlake Greens spans 5 census tracts of Chula Vista, CA and houses 29,025 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 44% against 35.4% citywide, putting Eastlake Greens 9.0% over its own city.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.

Average gross rent is $2,664, 20% above the Chula Vista average of $2,229. That places it #12 of 16 neighborhoods in Chula Vista. At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Lynwood Hills and Rancho del Rey. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 5 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $150,716.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Eastlake Greens vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.4% +25%
Chula Vista: 35.4%
Average gross rent
$2,664 +20%
Chula Vista: $2,229
Average HH income
$150,716 +43%
Chula Vista: $105,173
Poverty rate
6.1% -28%
Chula Vista: 8.4%
Renter share
23.7% -41%
Chula Vista: 40.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Eastlake Greens and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.4–6.8

Why Eastlake Greens scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–5.8 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Eastlake Greens vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Eastlake Greens score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Eastlake Greens: 6.66.6Eastlake GreensNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Eastlake Greens?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 6.4 to 6.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Eastlake Greens

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073013321 6.8 8,310 55% $2,682
06073013315 6.8 4,006 57% $2,466
06073013316 6.4 7,890 46% $3,039
06073013424 6.4 6,802 34% $3,112
06073013425 6.4 2,017 0%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Eastlake Greens

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Eastlake Greens

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Eastlake Greens?

Eastlake Greens scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Eastlake Greens compare to Chula Vista overall?

Eastlake Greens scores 1.2 points lower than Chula Vista overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,664 vs $2,229.
Q3

What is the average rent in Eastlake Greens?

Average gross rent in Eastlake Greens is $2,664/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Eastlake Greens residents are renters?

24% of Eastlake Greens households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 29,025 residents.
Q5

Is Eastlake Greens a high social-vulnerability area?

Eastlake Greens sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Eastlake Greens have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Eastlake Greens is census tract 06073013321 (score 6.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 6.8, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Eastlake Greens for landlords?

Eastlake Greens carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Eastlake Greens?

Eastlake Greens has 28,635 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Eastlake Greens

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Eastlake Greens.

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