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Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Carmel Country Highlands Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 12,268 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.2–7.4

Carmel Country Highlands takes in 3 census tracts of San Diego, CA, population 12,268. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 32.4% citywide, putting Carmel Country Highlands 15.6% over its own city.

At $3,476 a month, rents sit 50% over what the rest of San Diego commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Food insecurity affects 6.6% of adults, 11.2 points below the national rate.

3.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 89 mapped neighborhoods of San Diego, it ranks #73 by risk, the lower third. At 26% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, La Jolla Mesa and Rancho Peñasquitos score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $216,503, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

With little internal variation, 7.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Carmel Country Highlands vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.0% +48%
San Diego: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$3,476 +50%
San Diego: $2,313
Average HH income
$216,503 +108%
San Diego: $104,321
Poverty rate
3.1% -72%
San Diego: 11.1%
Renter share
25.7% -51%
San Diego: 52.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carmel Country Highlands and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.2–7.4

Why Carmel Country Highlands scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
3.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–7.2 across tracts
7.1
Risk score comparison

Carmel Country Highlands vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carmel Country Highlands score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carmel Country Hig: 7.37.3Carmel Country HigNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carmel Country Highlands?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from 7.2 to 7.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Carmel Country Highlands

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073008372 7.4 3,931 54% $3,422
06073008346 7.2 4,332 37% $3,501
06073008374 7.2 4,005 54% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carmel Country Highlands

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carmel Country Highlands

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carmel Country Highlands?

Carmel Country Highlands scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carmel Country Highlands compare to San Diego overall?

Carmel Country Highlands scores 1.3 points lower than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $3,476 vs $2,313.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carmel Country Highlands?

Average gross rent in Carmel Country Highlands is $3,476/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carmel Country Highlands residents are renters?

26% of Carmel Country Highlands households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 12,268 residents.
Q5

Is Carmel Country Highlands a high social-vulnerability area?

Carmel Country Highlands sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carmel Country Highlands have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carmel Country Highlands is census tract 06073008372 (score 7.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.2 to 7.4, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Carmel Country Highlands for landlords?

Carmel Country Highlands carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carmel Country Highlands?

Carmel Country Highlands has 12,390 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (35.8%), Hispanic / Latino (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carmel Country Highlands

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carmel Country Highlands.

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