4 census tracts · pop 15,303 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10
· range 7.2–7.2
Carmel Valley spans 4 census tracts of San Diego, CA, population 15,303. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. Average gross rent is $3,148, 36% above the San Diego average of $2,313.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Against a San Diego baseline of 32.4%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. 3.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 89 mapped neighborhoods of San Diego, it ranks #79 by risk, the lower third.
Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.
34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 7.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Carmel Valley vs San DiegoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carmel Valley
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.2%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
5.0%SNAP enrollment
3.0%No health insurance
17.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carmel Valley
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carmel Valley?
Carmel Valley scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carmel Valley compare to San Diego overall?
Carmel Valley scores 1.4 points lower than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $3,148 vs $2,313.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carmel Valley?
Average gross rent in Carmel Valley is $3,148/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carmel Valley residents are renters?
34% of Carmel Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 15,303 residents.
Q5
Is Carmel Valley a high social-vulnerability area?
Carmel Valley sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carmel Valley have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carmel Valley is census tract 06073008330 (score 7.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.2 to 7.2, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Carmel Valley for landlords?
Carmel Valley carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carmel Valley?
Carmel Valley has 16,158 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (30.7%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.