Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally

Shelltown Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003601 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,526 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06073003601 covers part of the Shelltown area of San Diego, CA, and scores 9.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,526 residents. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
9.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 43% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units759
Renter share64.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$83,233

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Shelltown
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 328 tracts In San Diego
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#1,290 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6910, -117.1165 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelltown scores 9.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Shelltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelltown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.49.4This tracttract 003601San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shelltown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelltown

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.8 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. SNAP participation runs 30.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 28.5% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

At $1,736 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of San Diego commands. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003601?

Census tract 06073003601 in the Shelltown neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073003601?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003601?

14.1% of residents in tract 06073003601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,526.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 69th, minority 97th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 06073003601 considered part of Shelltown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003601 fall within Shelltown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073003601 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073003601 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003601 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073003601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related