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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Valencia Park Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003404 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,528 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

06073003404 is a census tract in the Valencia Park area of San Diego, CA. It scores 8.8/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 27% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,150
Renter share64.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$75,843

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Valencia Park
Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#122 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#163 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#2,111 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7140, -117.0940 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valencia Park scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,763 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Valencia Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valencia Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.88.8This tracttract 003404San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valencia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valencia Park

Food insecurity runs 35.1% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 28.1% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,763 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of San Diego commands.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Cost burden runs 58% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003404?

Census tract 06073003404 in the Valencia Park neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073003404?

Median gross rent is $1,763/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003404?

5.8% of residents in tract 06073003404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,528.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 90th, minority 92th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 06073003404 considered part of Valencia Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003404 fall within Valencia Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073003404 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073003404 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003404 scores 8.8/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073003404 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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