Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015801 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,109 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
06073015801 is a census tract in the Little Baghdad area of El Cajon, CA. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,109 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 65%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,420
Renter share90.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$52,212
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7969, -116.9593 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Baghdad scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,630 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5
How Little Baghdad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Baghdad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.5%Food insecurity
- 30.0%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Baghdad
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $52,212 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. SNAP participation runs 30.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 22.7% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,630 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of El Cajon commands. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073015801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015801?
Census tract 06073015801 in the Little Baghdad neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073015801?
Median gross rent is $1,630/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015801?
16.4% of residents in tract 06073015801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,109.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 93th, minority 74th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 06073015801 considered part of Little Baghdad?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015801 fall within Little Baghdad (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073015801 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073015801 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073015801 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Cajon Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Cajon Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Hillsdale
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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