Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015802 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,901 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06073015802 in the Little Baghdad area of El Cajon, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,901. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 52.5% across San Diego County.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,471
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$62,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7913, -116.9599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Baghdad scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,830 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5
How Little Baghdad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Baghdad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.0%Food insecurity
- 26.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Baghdad
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Set annual rent against average income of $62,292 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
It sits 1.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 25.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073015802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015802?
Census tract 06073015802 in the Little Baghdad neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073015802?
Median gross rent is $1,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015802?
22.0% of residents in tract 06073015802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,901.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 85th, minority 66th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 06073015802 considered part of Little Baghdad?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015802 fall within Little Baghdad (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073015802 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073015802 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073015802 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Cajon Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Cajon Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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