Mission Park Eviction Risk: High , Escondido

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $47,669, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,793 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Escondido commands. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.