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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Guajome Eviction Risk: High , Oceanside

Tract 06073018524 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,875 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 8.3/10, tract 06073018524 in the Guajome area of Oceanside, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,875 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 9% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share51.3%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$89,779

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Guajome
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 44 tracts In Oceanside
High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#260 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,143 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oceanside and the region

Centroid at 33.2315, -117.2973 · click any tract to drill in

Why Guajome scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oceanside
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,988 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oceanside
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oceanside
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oceanside
6.2

How Guajome compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Guajome risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.38.3This tracttract 018524Oceanside: 7.17.1Oceansideparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Guajome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Guajome

83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Set annual rent against average income of $89,779 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

At $2,988 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Oceanside commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. It sits 0.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073018524

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073018524?

Census tract 06073018524 in the Guajome neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073018524?

Median gross rent is $2,988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073018524?

19.2% of residents in tract 06073018524 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,875.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073018524?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 72th, minority 69th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 06073018524 considered part of Guajome?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073018524 fall within Guajome (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073018524 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073018524 compare to Oceanside overall?

Tract 06073018524 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Oceanside at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oceanside eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oceanside

Top eight tracts in Oceanside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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