Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Guajome Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oceanside
Tract 06073019301 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,453 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 06073019301 covers part of the Guajome area of Oceanside, CA, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,453 residents. Average gross rent is $3,131, 36% above the Oceanside average.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,264
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$112,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oceanside and the region
Centroid at 33.2299, -117.2751 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guajome scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oceanside
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,131 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oceanside
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oceanside
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oceanside
6.2
How Guajome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Guajome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guajome
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $112,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.
Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 57% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073019301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019301?
Census tract 06073019301 in the Guajome neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073019301?
Median gross rent is $3,131/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019301?
5.9% of residents in tract 06073019301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,453.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 73th, minority 54th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 06073019301 considered part of Guajome?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073019301 fall within Guajome (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073019301 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073019301 compare to Oceanside overall?
Tract 06073019301 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Oceanside at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oceanside eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oceanside
Top eight tracts in Oceanside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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