Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Richland Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 06073020041 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,445 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

06073020041 is a census tract in the Richland area of San Marcos, CA. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 16% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units926

Renter share52.9%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate7.1%

Median income$79,693

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 33.1532, -117.1549 · click any tract to drill in

Why Richland scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Marcos

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.1% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$2,092 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Marcos

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Marcos

7.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Marcos

6.9

How Richland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Richland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.9%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
18.8%Food insecurity
16.3%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Richland

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. At $2,092 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of San Marcos commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $79,693.

53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020041

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020041?

Census tract 06073020041 in the Richland neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073020041?

Median gross rent is $2,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020041?

7.1% of residents in tract 06073020041 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,445.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020041?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 40th, minority 76th, housing 57th.

Is tract 06073020041 considered part of Richland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020041 fall within Richland (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073020041 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073020041 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 06073020041 scores 7.2/10, right in line with the parent city of San Marcos at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.