Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally

Cole Valley Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075030101 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,792 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 06075030101 sits in the Cole Valley area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.4/10. It is home to 4,792 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.4

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 45% Owners 24%

Tract context

Occupied units2,098

Renter share76.8%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$151,384

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7643, -122.4597 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cole Valley scores 9.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$2,966 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Cole Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
95%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cole Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
3.9%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
19.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cole Valley

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 19.1% against 31.5% nationally.

At $2,966 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of San Francisco commands. Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #2,922 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075030101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075030101?

Census tract 06075030101 in the Cole Valley neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075030101?

Median gross rent is $2,966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075030101?

10.0% of residents in tract 06075030101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,792.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075030101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 4th, minority 67th, housing 79th.

Is tract 06075030101 considered part of Cole Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075030101 fall within Cole Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075030101 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075030101 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075030101 scores 9.4/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075030101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.