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Neighborhood · San Jose, CA

Vasona Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 13,781 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 3.5–8.6

Vasona Junction spans 4 census tracts of San Jose, CA, population 13,781. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3.5 to 8.6. A 5.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8.1/10.

Against a San Jose baseline of 30.1%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 10%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 3.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10.

Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of San Jose, it ranks #37 by risk, the lower third. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,820, close to the San Jose average. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Vasona Junction vs San Jose How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.2% +24%
San Jose: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$2,820 +6%
San Jose: $2,669
Average HH income
$186,485 +32%
San Jose: $141,565
Poverty rate
3.7% -53%
San Jose: 7.9%
Renter share
38.3% -13%
San Jose: 44.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vasona Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.5–8.6

Why Vasona Junction scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.5 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.0–9.5 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–9.0 across tracts
8.1
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 2.1–8.5 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–8.5 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–5.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Vasona Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Vasona Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0Vasona JunctionNeighborhood9.0Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Vasona Junction?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 5.1 points from 3.5 to 8.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Vasona Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06085502703 8.6 4,015 45% $3,043
06085502704 8.3 4,143 41% $2,465
06085507100 6.3 3,029 33% $2,426
06085507206 3.5 2,594 24% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 48%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vasona Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Vasona Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Vasona Junction?

Vasona Junction scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Vasona Junction compare to San Jose overall?

Vasona Junction scores 2.0 points lower than San Jose overall (9/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,820 vs $2,669.
Q3

What is the average rent in Vasona Junction?

Average gross rent in Vasona Junction is $2,820/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Vasona Junction residents are renters?

38% of Vasona Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in San Jose). The neighborhood has 13,781 residents.
Q5

Is Vasona Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Vasona Junction sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Vasona Junction have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Vasona Junction is census tract 06085502703 (score 8.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 8.6, a spread of 5.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Vasona Junction for landlords?

Vasona Junction carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Jose as a whole (9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Vasona Junction?

Vasona Junction has 14,264 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Vasona Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Jose

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Vasona Junction.

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