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Neighborhood · Watsonville, CA

Colache Town Eviction Risk: High

7 census tracts · pop 26,036 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.9/10 · range 8.2–9.3

Colache Town is a 7-tract quarter of Watsonville, CA, population 26,036. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.9/10, in the High tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Watsonville rate of 33.8%.

37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $73,983 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. 23.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Scores across the 7 constituent tracts range from 8.2 to 9.3. A 1.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $2,061 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Watsonville commands.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.9
High
7 tracts · population-weighted
Colache Town vs Watsonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.7% +83%
Watsonville: 33.8%
Average gross rent
$2,061 +9%
Watsonville: $1,889
Average HH income
$73,983 -1%
Watsonville: $74,785
Poverty rate
18.2% +20%
Watsonville: 15.2%
Renter share
64.4% +17%
Watsonville: 55.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colache Town and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 8.2–9.3

Why Colache Town scores 8.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
18.2% below poverty line · Range 2.8–7.5 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Colache Town vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Colache Town score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.9Colache TownNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Colache Town?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 8.2 to 9.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Colache Town

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06087110301 9.3 4,285 55% $1,525
06087110401 9.3 3,546 55% $1,679
06087110302 9.3 3,178 62% $1,744
06087110102 8.8 4,747 46% $1,676
06087110402 8.7 4,369 77% $2,403
06087110101 8.7 2,767 92% $3,351
06087110201 8.2 3,144 55% $2,511
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colache Town

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Colache Town

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Colache Town?

Colache Town scores 8.9/10 (High tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Colache Town compare to Watsonville overall?

Colache Town scores 1.0 points higher than Watsonville overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,061 vs $1,889.
Q3

What is the average rent in Colache Town?

Average gross rent in Colache Town is $2,061/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Colache Town residents are renters?

64% of Colache Town households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Watsonville). The neighborhood has 26,036 residents.
Q5

Is Colache Town a high social-vulnerability area?

Colache Town sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Colache Town have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Colache Town is census tract 06087110301 (score 9.3/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.2 to 9.3, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Colache Town for landlords?

Colache Town carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.9/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Watsonville as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Colache Town?

Colache Town has 26,108 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (85.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colache Town

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Watsonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colache Town.

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