Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097153006 · Sonoma, CA · pop 7,652 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06097153006 covers part of the Lincoln Manor Association area of Santa Rosa, CA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,652. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 18% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units2,843

Renter share31.7%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate10.8%

Median income$96,399

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4433, -122.7584 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.8% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,981 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Rosa

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Rosa

6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.2%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
14.4%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
10.5%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. Cost burden runs 44% here against 49.9% across Sonoma County. It sits 0.8 points above the Sonoma County average of 6.9.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,981, close to the Santa Rosa average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $96,399. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097153006

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153006?

Census tract 06097153006 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06097153006?

Median gross rent is $1,981/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153006?

10.8% of residents in tract 06097153006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,652.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 85th, minority 64th, housing 81th.

Is tract 06097153006 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097153006 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06097153006 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06097153006 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097153006 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.