Census Tract · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099002602 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,869 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Ceres

06099002602 is a census tract in Ceres, CA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,869. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 32% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units1,409

Renter share57.5%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate20.5%

Median income$69,177

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ceres and the region

Centroid at 37.5875, -120.9445 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ceres scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ceres

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

20.5% poverty · this tract

5.1

Supply constraint

$1,387 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ceres

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ceres

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ceres

6.5

How Ceres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.8%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
27.4%Food insecurity
25.6%SNAP enrollment
14.1%Transit barriers
18.3%No health insurance
20.5%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ceres

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. SNAP participation runs 25.6% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 22.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,387, 15% below the Ceres average. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,177. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002602?

Census tract 06099002602 in Ceres scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099002602?

Median gross rent is $1,387/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002602?

20.5% of residents in tract 06099002602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,869.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 93th, minority 77th, housing 85th.

What share of households in tract 06099002602 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099002602 compare to Ceres overall?

Tract 06099002602 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Ceres at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ceres

Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.