Census Tract · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099001400 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,653

06099001400 is a census tract in Modesto, CA. It scores 7.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,653 residents. Cost burden runs 66% here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County.

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 20% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units2,386

Renter share57.3%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate16.3%

Median income$63,099

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Modesto and the region

Centroid at 37.6628, -121.0201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modesto scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Modesto

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.3% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$1,479 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Modesto

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Modesto

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Modesto

7.0

How Modesto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.4%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
28.3%Food insecurity
30.3%SNAP enrollment
15.1%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
41.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modesto

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

Food insecurity runs 28.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Housing insecurity runs 22.4% against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7/10. Average gross rent is $1,479, 12% below the Modesto average. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $63,099. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099001400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099001400?

Census tract 06099001400 in Modesto scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099001400?

Median gross rent is $1,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099001400?

16.3% of residents in tract 06099001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,653.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 95th, minority 72th, housing 98th.

What share of households in tract 06099001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099001400 compare to Modesto overall?

Tract 06099001400 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Modesto at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Modesto eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Modesto

Top eight tracts in Modesto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.