Census Tract · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099002603 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 3,705

Census tract 06099002603 covers part of Ceres, CA, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,705. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 18% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units936

Renter share31.9%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate10.6%

Median income$85,532

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ceres and the region

Centroid at 37.6020, -120.9524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ceres scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ceres

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.6% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,640 rent vs county FMR

5.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ceres

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ceres

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ceres

6.5

How Ceres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.4%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.4%Food insecurity
17.6%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
13.5%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
37.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ceres

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10. Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,640, close to the Ceres average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $85,532. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002603?

Census tract 06099002603 in Ceres scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099002603?

Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002603?

10.6% of residents in tract 06099002603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,705.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 94th, minority 72th, housing 35th.

What share of households in tract 06099002603 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099002603 compare to Ceres overall?

Tract 06099002603 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Ceres at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ceres

Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.