Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

The voucher gap is 18.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Stanislaus County average of 47.5%.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7/10. At $1,857 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Modesto commands. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.