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Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099001500 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,079 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Modesto

Census tract 06099001500 covers part of Modesto, CA, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,079. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 29% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,175
Renter share48.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$70,144

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 45 tracts In Modesto
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Elevated
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#5,249 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,919 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Modesto and the region

Centroid at 37.6350, -121.0375 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modesto scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Modesto
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,600 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Modesto
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Modesto
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Modesto
7.0

How Modesto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Modesto risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 0015006.7Modestoparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modesto

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 40% here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,600, close to the Modesto average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,144. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099001500?

Census tract 06099001500 in Modesto scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099001500?

Median gross rent is $1,600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099001500?

12.7% of residents in tract 06099001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,079.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 96th, minority 82th, housing 99th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099001500 compare to Modesto overall?

Tract 06099001500 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Modesto at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Modesto eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Modesto

Top eight tracts in Modesto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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