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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Original Thornton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08001009001 · Adams County, CO · pop 4,894 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 08001009001 covers part of the Original Thornton area of Welby, CO, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,894 residents. Severe burden reaches 47%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 10% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,700
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$63,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Original Thornton
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Thornton
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 107 tracts In Adams County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#359 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Thornton and the region

Centroid at 39.8528, -104.9708 · click any tract to drill in

Why Original Thornton scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Thornton
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,649 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Thornton
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Thornton
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Thornton
6.9

How Original Thornton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Original Thornton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0090014.5Thorntonparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 443Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 20.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.6%Peak (2001)
  • 71Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 08001009001
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Original Thornton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Original Thornton

Cost burden runs 64% here against 50.4% across Adams County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.3% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Adams County average of 4.5. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 443 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 27.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,649, close to the Welby average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08001009001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001009001?

Census tract 08001009001 in the Original Thornton neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08001009001?

Median gross rent is $1,649/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08001009001?

15.2% of residents in tract 08001009001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08001009001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 96th, minority 73th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 08001009001 considered part of Original Thornton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08001009001 fall within Original Thornton (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001009001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 443 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08001009001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.11% of renter households, peaking at 27.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08001009001 compare to Thornton overall?

Tract 08001009001 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Thornton at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Thornton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Thornton

Top eight tracts in Thornton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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