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Welby, Colorado eviction risk overview
City brief · 16,197 residents

Welby, CO Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Adams County · Population 16,197

In 2026
Risk score
4.7
MODERATE

90th percentile, Colorado.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average2.7 Now4.7
5.6 1.7 1976 · score 2.0 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 2.0 1980 · score 2.0 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 1.9 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 1.9 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.3 1994 · score 2.2 1995 · score 2.3 1996 · score 2.3 1997 · score 2.2 1998 · score 2.2 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.1 2001 · score 2.2 2002 · score 2.2 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.4 2005 · score 2.4 2006 · score 2.4 2007 · score 2.4 2008 · score 3.0 2009 · score 3.2 2010 · score 3.4 2011 · score 3.4 2012 · score 3.3 2013 · score 3.2 2014 · score 3.1 2015 · score 3.1 2016 · score 3.1 2017 · score 3.2 2018 · score 3.3 2019 · score 3.3 2020 · score 5.4 2021 · score 5.6 2022 · score 4.6 2023 · score 4.3 2024 · score 4.7 2025 · score 4.7 2026 · score 4.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.3 Regional 8.3 State 4.7 Economic 5.9 Supply 7.2 Rent Control 8.8 Eviction 4.1 Tenant 5.8 Housing 6.9 4.7 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +9.0% (2024)
    8.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.3
  3. State political climate
    Colorado legislature & governorship
    4.7
  4. Economic stress
    9.4% poverty · 5.2% unemp.
    5.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,656 average · 27.5% renters
    7.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    42.3% of income on rent
    8.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    95 days filing → judgment
    4.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    27.5% renters
    5.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Welby and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Welby compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Adams County
High
#5 of 17 cities
Rank in county, 75th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 17 cities in Adams County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Colorado
High
#79 of 479 cities
Rank in state, 84th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 479 cities in Colorado for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Welby risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Welby: 4.74.7WelbyThis cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg in countyState: 4.84.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.7
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 95d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,656/mo. A contested eviction takes 95 days and costs $3,838–$10,216 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 27.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 16,197 residents, 27.5% rent. 42% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.3 and 8.3 (Dem margin +9.0% (2024)). State climate at 4.7, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.1, housing court bias 6.9, rent-control risk 8.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.9. Supply constraint: 7.2. The numbers behind those: 9.4% poverty, 5.2% unemployment, 42% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Welby sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Denver, CO · 98d · ~$8.6k all-in ($88/day) · score 5.7 Denver Aurora, CO · 94d · ~$9.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 5.4 Aurora Fort Collins, CO · 106d · ~$9.0k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.4 Fort Collins Lakewood, CO · 91d · ~$8.7k all-in ($96/day) · score 5.2 Lakewood Thornton, CO · 98d · ~$7.9k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.5 Thornton Arvada, CO · 109d · ~$8.2k all-in ($75/day) · score 4.5 Arvada Westminster, CO · 99d · ~$7.3k all-in ($74/day) · score 4.4 Westminster Greeley, CO · 105d · ~$8.0k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.6 Greeley Centennial, CO · 93d · ~$8.6k all-in ($93/day) · score 4.5 Centennial Boulder, CO · 100d · ~$8.9k all-in ($89/day) · score 5.8 Boulder Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Welby
Welby · 95d · ~$7.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 4.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Welby, CO

Landlording in Welby, Colorado, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Welby is a city of 16,197 residents where 27.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 42.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,656/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Welby eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Welby closes 95 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Welby's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Welby runs $3,838 to $10,216 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 95 days of typical timeline and $1,656/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.8/10 in Welby, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Colorado, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Welby: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Colorado's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $10,216 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Welby

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 95 days and roughly $10,216 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $4,086 to $6,129 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under CRS 13-40 + HB23-1115.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Welby for any reason?

No, not for "any reason." While Colorado doesn't have a statewide "just-cause" eviction requirement for standard residential rentals, you still need a legal reason. This typically means non-payment of rent, a lease violation, or the expiration of a lease term with proper notice (91-day notice for month-to-month). You can't just decide you want them out without cause and proper notice.

Q2

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I give them a 10-day notice?

If you accept any partial payment after issuing a 10-day pay-or-quit notice, you generally waive your right to proceed with that specific notice. You'd have to issue a new notice for the remaining balance. It's usually best to refuse partial payments if you intend to proceed with eviction, unless you have a clear, written agreement with the tenant that accepting partial payment does not waive your right to evict for the remaining balance. Consult your attorney.

Q3

How long does a tenant have to move out after a judge rules for eviction in Welby?

Once the judge issues an order for possession, the tenant typically has a short period, often 48 hours or a few days, before the sheriff can execute the writ of restitution and physically remove them. The exact timing depends on the court's order and the sheriff's schedule in Denver County.

Q4

Is rent control an issue for Welby landlords?

Currently, there is no statewide rent control in Colorado. However, Welby's sub-score for rent-control-risk is 8.8/10, which is very high. This indicates a significant risk of future rent control legislation being enacted at either the state or local level. Landlords should stay informed about legislative changes. Our Colorado rent control rules page tracks developments.

Q5

Can I charge a late fee if rent is overdue in Welby?

Yes, you can charge late fees in Welby, provided they are clearly stated in your lease agreement and are reasonable. Colorado law dictates that a late fee cannot exceed $50 or 5% of the past due rent, whichever is greater. You also cannot charge a late fee until rent is at least seven days late.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.7/10 places Welby in the 90th percentile of Colorado cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.