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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

East Aurora Eviction Risk: High , Boulder

Tract 08013012507 · Boulder County, CO · pop 4,006 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 08013012507 covers part of the East Aurora area of Boulder, CO, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,006. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 20% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,772
Renter share60.2%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$65,128

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In East Aurora
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 30 tracts In Boulder
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 78 tracts In Boulder County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boulder and the region

Centroid at 39.9919, -105.2506 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Aurora scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boulder
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,915 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boulder
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boulder
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boulder
8.0

How East Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.8This tracttract 0125077.4Boulderparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2002)
  • 6Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Aurora. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Aurora

Against the Boulder County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10. Cost burden runs 67% here against 52.5% across Boulder County.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $65,128, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 filings here across 1 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 0.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.8/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 3.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08013012507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012507?

Census tract 08013012507 in the East Aurora neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08013012507?

Median gross rent is $1,915/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012507?

26.4% of residents in tract 08013012507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,006.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 1th, minority 39th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 08013012507 considered part of East Aurora?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012507 fall within East Aurora (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08013012507?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08013012507 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.65% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08013012507 compare to Boulder overall?

Tract 08013012507 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Boulder at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boulder eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boulder

Top eight tracts in Boulder ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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