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Neighborhood · Boulder, CO

East Aurora Eviction Risk: High

5 census tracts · pop 14,295 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.7/10 · range 8–8.8

East Aurora is a 5-tract neighborhood of Boulder, CO, population 14,295. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.7/10, placing it in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 56%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Boulder rate of 44.1%. Set annual rent against average household income of $48,513 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 8.5/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Court records carry 20 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 0.9% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,831, 9% below the Boulder average of $2,018. That places it #3 of 13 neighborhoods in Boulder. Judgments average 0.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

With little internal variation, 8.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.7
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
East Aurora vs Boulder How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
74.9% +70%
Boulder: 44.1%
Average gross rent
$1,831 -9%
Boulder: $2,018
Average HH income
$48,513 -43%
Boulder: $85,364
Poverty rate
40.6% +86%
Boulder: 21.8%
Renter share
76.2% +44%
Boulder: 52.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Aurora and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 8–8.8

Why East Aurora scores 8.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Rent control risk
75% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
40.6% below poverty line · Range 3.6–10.0 across tracts
8.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–4.3 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

East Aurora vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Aurora score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.7East AuroraNeighborhood7.4Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in East Aurora?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.8 points from 8 to 8.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in East Aurora

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08013012610 8.8 4,653 80% $1,726
08013012507 8.8 4,006 67% $1,915
08013012605 8.8 1,909 73% $1,856
08013012609 8.8 1,417 84% $1,771
08013012608 8 2,310 74% $1,910
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Aurora

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings (sum)
  • 0.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak year (2002)
  • 0.66%Latest filed (2002)
Frequently asked

About East Aurora

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Aurora?

East Aurora scores 8.7/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Aurora compare to Boulder overall?

East Aurora scores 1.3 points higher than Boulder overall (7.4/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 44% citywide. Average rent: $1,831 vs $2,018.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Aurora?

Average gross rent in East Aurora eviction risk is $1,831/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Aurora residents are renters?

76% of East Aurora households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Boulder). The neighborhood has 14,295 residents.
Q5

Is East Aurora a high social-vulnerability area?

East Aurora sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in East Aurora have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Aurora is census tract 08013012610 (score 8.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 8.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is East Aurora for landlords?

East Aurora eviction risk carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.7/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boulder as a whole (7.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of East Aurora?

East Aurora has 14,465 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.7%), Hispanic / Latino (14%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Aurora

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boulder

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Aurora.

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