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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

East Aurora Eviction Risk: High , Boulder

Tract 08013012610 · Boulder County, CO · pop 4,653 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 08013012610 covers part of the East Aurora area of Boulder, CO, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 65% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 77% Stable renters 20% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units2,364
Renter share96.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate60.4%
Median income$22,293

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In East Aurora
Low
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 30 tracts In Boulder
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 78 tracts In Boulder County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boulder and the region

Centroid at 40.0040, -105.2558 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Aurora scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boulder
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
60.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,726 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boulder
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boulder
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boulder
8.0

How East Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.8This tracttract 0126107.4Boulderparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Aurora. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Aurora

Against Boulder County at 52.5%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 93% of average household income of $22,293, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Boulder County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. At $1,726 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Boulder commands.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 3.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08013012610

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012610?

Census tract 08013012610 in the East Aurora neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08013012610?

Median gross rent is $1,726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012610?

60.4% of residents in tract 08013012610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,653.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012610?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 0th, minority 48th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 08013012610 considered part of East Aurora?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012610 fall within East Aurora (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08013012610 compare to Boulder overall?

Tract 08013012610 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Boulder at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boulder eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boulder

Top eight tracts in Boulder ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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