3 census tracts · pop 13,507 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.7–6
Niagra Village is a 3-tract neighborhood of Grand Junction, CO and houses 13,507 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 29.1% citywide, putting Niagra Village 24.9% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 304 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 8.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.9% in 2008, is well off that peak.
At $1,067 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Grand Junction commands. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Grand Junction, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Meeks and North Seventh Street National Historic District. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $47,309. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Niagra Village vs Grand JunctionHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Niagra Village
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
304Total filings (sum)
5.65%Avg annual filing rate
8.6%Peak year (2006)
4.83%Latest filed (2008)
Frequently asked
About Niagra Village
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Niagra Village?
Niagra Village scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Niagra Village compare to Grand Junction overall?
Niagra Village scores 1.3 points higher than Grand Junction overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,067 vs $1,142.
Q3
What is the average rent in Niagra Village?
Average gross rent in Niagra Village is $1,067/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Niagra Village residents are renters?
50% of Niagra Village households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Grand Junction). The neighborhood has 13,507 residents.
Q5
Is Niagra Village a high social-vulnerability area?
Niagra Village sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Niagra Village have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Niagra Village is census tract 08077000601 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 6, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Niagra Village for landlords?
Niagra Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Grand Junction as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Niagra Village?
Niagra Village has 13,496 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.9%), Hispanic / Latino (15.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
