Neighborhood · Grand Junction, CO

Niagra Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,507 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.7–5.4

Niagra Village is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Grand Junction with 3 census tracts and a population of 13,507 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,067/month sits 7% lower than the Grand Junction citywide average ($1,142).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Niagra Village vs Grand Junction How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.0% +86%

Grand Junction: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,067 -7%

Grand Junction: $1,142

Average HH income

$47,309 -29%

Grand Junction: $66,676

Poverty rate

20.6% +58%

Grand Junction: 13.0%

Renter share

50.3% +38%

Grand Junction: 36.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagra Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.7–5.4

Why Niagra Village scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

50% renter households · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Economic stress

20.6% below poverty line · Range 4.1–6.1 across tracts

5.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–4.6 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Niagra Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Niagra Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 4.7 to 5.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.4 5.3 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Niagra Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
08077000602	5.4	4,437	65%	$1,062
08077000601	5.3	4,683	54%	$1,189
08077000700	4.7	4,387	43%	$942

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 58%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 89%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Niagra Village

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

304Total filings (sum)
5.65%Avg annual filing rate
8.6%Peak year (2006)
4.83%Latest filed (2008)

Frequently asked

About Niagra Village

What is the eviction-risk score for Niagra Village?

Niagra Village scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Niagra Village compare to Grand Junction overall?

Niagra Village scores 0.8 points higher than Grand Junction overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,067 vs $1,142.

What is the average rent in Niagra Village?

Average gross rent in Niagra Village is $1,067/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Niagra Village residents are renters?

50% of Niagra Village households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Grand Junction). The neighborhood has 13,507 residents.

Is Niagra Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Niagra Village sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Niagra Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Niagra Village is census tract 08077000602 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.4, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Niagra Village for landlords?

Niagra Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Grand Junction as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Niagra Village?

Niagra Village has 13,496 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.9%), Hispanic / Latino (15.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Niagra Village

4.8 North Seventh Street National Historic District 4 tracts · pop 10,312 4.8 Meeks 2 tracts · pop 9,708 3.1 Highland Park 3 tracts · pop 12,615

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Grand Junction

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Niagra Village.

4.8 North Seventh Street National Historic District 4 tracts · pop 10,312 4.8 Meeks 2 tracts · pop 9,708 4 Heritage Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,093 3.3 Colonial Heights 1 tracts · pop 7,294

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