Candlelight Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 53.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $3,152, 12% above the Erie average of $2,805.

Against a Erie baseline of 26.8%, 24% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Grandview and Vista Ridge. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $158,892.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.