3 census tracts · pop 7,332 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Fox Run takes in 3 census tracts of Frederick, CO and houses 7,332 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The voucher gap is 55.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 9.1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Cost burden runs 39% against 31.0% citywide, putting Fox Run 7.6% over its own city.
Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.1/10. The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
At $2,117 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Frederick commands. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $140,303, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Fox Run vs FrederickHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Fox Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Fox Run?
Fox Run scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Fox Run compare to Frederick overall?
Fox Run scores 1.0 points lower than Frederick overall (4/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,117 vs $2,381.
Q3
What is the average rent in Fox Run?
Average gross rent in Fox Run is $2,117/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Fox Run residents are renters?
3% of Fox Run households are renter-occupied (vs 5% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 7,332 residents.
Q5
Is Fox Run a high social-vulnerability area?
Fox Run sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Fox Run have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Fox Run is census tract 08123002013 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Fox Run for landlords?
Fox Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Fox Run?
Fox Run has 7,682 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
